Série D Brazil Final round 1/16
Global 3-3
Campinense vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SER
2 - 2
CAM
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CAM
5 - 0
CAU
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ARN
0 - 0
CAM
58%
22%
19%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 0
SOU
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 1
CEN
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SER
2 - 2
CAM
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SER
4 - 0
BAH
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
RFC
0 - 0
SER
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
ITA
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 1
SER
24%
26%
50%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |