Campinense vs Misto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 1
TRE
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
TRE
2 - 0
CAM
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
MIS
1 - 1
CAM
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 0
CAM
49%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 2
CAM
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Misto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MIS
2 - 1
COX
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 3
MIS
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MIS
3 - 1
OPE
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
MIS
1 - 1
CAM
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 1
MIS
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |