Campinense vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
33.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 1
SOU
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ABC
1 - 0
CAM
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 1
CAM
38%
28%
35%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 0
BRA
31%
29%
40%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 1
CAM
24%
27%
49%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 0
APA
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
APA
0 - 1
MIR
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
YPI
0 - 2
APA
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
IPO
1 - 0
APA
25%
28%
47%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
APA
2 - 0
GIO
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |