Non League Div One Northern Midlands round 31

Cambridge City vs Boldmere St. Michaels analysis

Cambridge City Boldmere St. Michaels
26 ELO 30
-6.9% Tilt -16.2%
10349º General ELO ranking 21732º
411º Country ELO ranking 822º
ELO win probability
35.6%
Cambridge City
23%
Draw
41.4%
Boldmere St. Michaels

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
Cambridge City
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
41.4%
Win probability
Boldmere St. Michaels
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cambridge City
-6%
-7%
Boldmere St. Michaels

Points and table prediction

Cambridge City
Their league position
Boldmere St. Michaels
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
11º
19º
13º
64
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stamford
86
87
100%
Halesowen Town
77
78
100%
Spalding United
75
75
100%
Sporting Khalsa
67
70
100%
Chasetown
65
68
34.5%
Coleshill Town FC
66
67
14.5%
Harborough Town
64
67
38%
Boldmere St. Michaels
64
65
17%
Corby Town
64
65
41.5%
Shepshed
10º
51
52
10º
30.5%
Loughborough Dynamo FC
11º
49
52
11º
30.5%
Sutton Coldfield Town
12º
47
48
12º
100%
Cambridge City
13º
44
44
13º
71%
Hinckley LR
14º
41
42
14º
34%
Bedworth United
15º
39
42
15º
31.5%
Gresley
16º
38
41
16º
46.5%
Dereham Town
17º
35
35
17º
100%
St. Neots Town
18º
32
32
18º
100%
Daventry Town
19º
24
24
19º
100%
Yaxley FC
20º
6
6
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cambridge City
Boldmere St. Michaels
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Cambridge City
Boldmere St. Michaels
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cambridge City
Cambridge City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
CAM
Cambridge City
1 - 1
Sporting Khalsa
SPO
34%
22%
44%
26 30 4 0
18 Feb. 2023
HAR
Harborough Town
1 - 0
Cambridge City
CAM
66%
18%
16%
28 33 5 -2
15 Feb. 2023
CAM
Cambridge City
3 - 0
Gresley
GRE
46%
23%
31%
27 26 1 +1
11 Feb. 2023
CAM
Cambridge City
2 - 3
Coleshill Town FC
COL
31%
24%
45%
28 34 6 -1
08 Feb. 2023
CAM
Cambridge City
1 - 1
Hinckley LR
LER
40%
23%
37%
27 31 4 +1

Matches

Boldmere St. Michaels
Boldmere St. Michaels
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
YAX
Yaxley FC
1 - 3
Boldmere St. Michaels
BOL
9%
16%
75%
31 13 18 0
18 Feb. 2023
BOL
Boldmere St. Michaels
0 - 1
Stamford
STA
20%
22%
58%
33 45 12 -2
07 Feb. 2023
BOL
Boldmere St. Michaels
2 - 1
Daventry Town
DAV
79%
13%
8%
33 20 13 0
04 Feb. 2023
DER
Dereham Town
0 - 3
Boldmere St. Michaels
BOL
30%
23%
47%
31 25 6 +2
28 Jan. 2023
BOL
Boldmere St. Michaels
1 - 5
Chasetown
CHA
48%
22%
30%
34 34 0 -3