Cambridge City vs Aylesbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambridge City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 2
BAS
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 4
CAM
17%
20%
64%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
PET
2 - 4
CAM
44%
22%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CAM
6 - 2
YAX
80%
12%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
CAM
13%
18%
69%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
COR
5 - 2
AYL
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
AYL
1 - 0
PET
9%
15%
75%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
AYL
1 - 2
HER
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
AYL
1 - 2
KEM
12%
18%
70%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
AYL
2 - 2
BAR
23%
22%
55%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |