Camagüey vs Guantánamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
32.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camagüey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LAS
3 - 1
CAM
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ISL
1 - 0
CAM
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 1
VIL
43%
28%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CIE
0 - 1
CAM
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 2
CIE
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -4 |
Matches
Guantánamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
CIE
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
CIE
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
GUA
41%
30%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
GRA
43%
27%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
FCL
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |