Baiano 1 Round 1

Camaçari FC vs Vitória analysis

Camaçari FC Vitória
46 ELO 77
8.4% Tilt -2.2%
30490º General ELO ranking 188º
900º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
16.2%
Camaçari FC
23%
Draw
60.8%
Vitória

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
Camaçari FC
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
60.8%
Win probability
Vitória
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Camaçari FC
Vitória
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Camaçari FC
Camaçari FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2011
JUA
Juazeiro BA
1 - 1
Camaçari FC
CFC
43%
24%
33%
46 42 4 0
11 Mar. 2011
CFC
Camaçari FC
2 - 2
Bahia de Feira
BAH
34%
25%
41%
46 56 10 0
03 Mar. 2011
COL
Colo Colo BA
0 - 2
Camaçari FC
CFC
46%
25%
29%
45 46 1 +1
27 Feb. 2011
CFC
Camaçari FC
1 - 2
Vitória da Conquista
VIT
37%
25%
39%
45 54 9 0
20 Feb. 2011
ALA
Atlético Alagoinhas
2 - 2
Camaçari FC
CFC
54%
23%
23%
45 51 6 0

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2011
COL
Colo Colo BA
1 - 3
Vitória
VIT
14%
23%
63%
77 46 31 0
11 Mar. 2011
VIT
Vitória
4 - 2
Juazeiro BA
JUA
80%
14%
6%
77 42 35 0
03 Mar. 2011
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
0 - 1
Vitória
VIT
18%
24%
58%
76 55 21 +1
27 Feb. 2011
VIT
Vitória
2 - 0
Bahia de Feira
BAH
82%
13%
5%
76 57 19 0
25 Feb. 2011
VIT
Vitória
0 - 0
Botafogo PB
BOT
79%
15%
7%
76 56 20 0