Calvia vs UD Arenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
UDA
0 - 0
CAL
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
UDA
57%
22%
21%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SPO
0 - 0
CAL
25%
22%
53%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
VIL
40%
22%
38%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CFP
2 - 0
CAL
36%
23%
42%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UD Arenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
UDA
0 - 0
CAL
27%
23%
50%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
UDA
57%
22%
21%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
UDA
0 - 2
SHO
61%
20%
19%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ESP
0 - 4
UDA
35%
25%
41%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
UDA
4 - 0
PDS
74%
16%
10%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |