Calig vs Cinctorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 1
CAL
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
4 - 2
CAT
46%
23%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ORP
1 - 1
CAL
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
MAT
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
3 - 0
CAL
42%
23%
35%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cinctorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CIN
0 - 2
ALC
31%
23%
46%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 1
CIN
25%
22%
53%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CIN
4 - 0
IBA
21%
21%
58%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
CIN
72%
17%
11%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CIN
3 - 1
POB
25%
22%
53%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |