Calig vs Rafalafena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAL
4 - 1
MOR
36%
24%
40%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 0
CAL
65%
19%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 3
ORP
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
TRR
3 - 2
CAL
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 2
POB
23%
22%
54%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rafalafena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
RAF
1 - 1
TRA
37%
24%
39%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ORP
2 - 2
RAF
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
RAF
3 - 3
TRR
22%
21%
56%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
POB
1 - 0
RAF
72%
17%
11%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
RAF
5 - 4
BLC
44%
22%
34%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |