California Baptist vs San José State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
California Baptist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
CBL
2 - 1
SUR
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
RGV
2 - 1
CBL
60%
20%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
UIW
1 - 1
CBL
16%
19%
66%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
NLV
1 - 3
CBL
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
CBL
4 - 1
UVL
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
San José State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
UVL
0 - 1
SJS
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SJS
2 - 0
NLV
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
SJS
3 - 0
DXS
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
AFF
2 - 0
SJS
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
SJS
2 - 2
AFF
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |