Calera vs Sagreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
60%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
VIL
4 - 3
CAL
27%
22%
50%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
BAR
36%
25%
40%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MEN
2 - 3
CAL
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 0
ECG
30%
22%
48%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SAG
5 - 1
CAL
74%
17%
10%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sagreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SAG
4 - 2
VIL
80%
14%
7%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 0
SAG
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SAG
5 - 0
MEN
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SAG
5 - 1
CAL
74%
17%
10%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ECG
2 - 1
SAG
16%
21%
63%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |