Calera vs CF Orgaceño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
44.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
5 - 1
CAL
38%
23%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 1
ARG
42%
23%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
CAL
20%
22%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
TAL
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MOC
0 - 3
CAL
33%
23%
43%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CF Orgaceño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ORG
1 - 0
FUE
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 3
ORG
29%
23%
47%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ORG
0 - 0
PTO
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ORO
1 - 0
ORG
16%
20%
65%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ORG
7 - 1
PUE
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |