Calera vs Fuensalida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAL
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
PTO
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ORO
4 - 5
CAL
12%
19%
69%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
4 - 1
CTI
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
7 - 1
PUE
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fuensalida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FUE
3 - 0
CAM
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FUE
3 - 0
GUA
68%
18%
15%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PTO
2 - 2
FUE
29%
22%
49%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FUE
2 - 0
VSA
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FUE
3 - 0
ORO
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |