Morvant Caledonia United vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 3
CAL
49%
24%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 1
CAL
70%
17%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 4
SAN
33%
26%
42%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ANN
1 - 1
CAL
30%
23%
48%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
POI
1 - 3
CAL
45%
25%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
DEF
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 2
DEF
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CEN
4 - 1
DEF
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
DEF
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 2
ANN
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | -2 |