Caldense vs Nacional EC MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 0
CAL
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AMF
2 - 0
CAL
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 0
TUP
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
ATM
10%
18%
72%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional EC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 5
AMF
17%
20%
63%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 4
CRZ
10%
17%
73%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 1
NEC
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 3
BOA
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BOA
3 - 0
NEC
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |