Caldense vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
CAL
0 - 0
ALF
82%
12%
6%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1993 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAL
31%
25%
45%
|
58 | 17 | 41 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
RBR
0 - 0
CAL
34%
25%
42%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
CAL
1 - 0
FLA
82%
12%
7%
|
58 | 17 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
CAL
2 - 1
TRE
83%
11%
6%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1992 |
PAR
2 - 1
DEM
79%
14%
6%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1992 |
DEM
1 - 1
PAR
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |