Caldense vs Athletic Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
COI
0 - 2
CAL
36%
25%
38%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
UBE
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
POA
3 - 1
CAL
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 1
ATM
5%
15%
80%
|
45 | 84 | 39 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
URT
3 - 1
CAL
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
UBE
2 - 3
ATH
53%
23%
25%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
ATH
0 - 1
URT
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
TOM
2 - 1
ATH
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
COI
1 - 0
ATH
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ATH
2 - 1
POA
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |