Caldense vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.1%
73.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
17.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
MAD
3 - 1
CAL
39%
28%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 0
LIN
27%
28%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 0
CAL
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 0
MAD
47%
27%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 0
AMF
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
AMF
1 - 0
BAH
35%
30%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
PAL
4 - 0
AMF
82%
14%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
AMF
2 - 1
SAN
23%
28%
49%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
SCI
2 - 0
AMF
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |