Caldas vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
8º
7º
26
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 0
UDA
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
USA
0 - 1
CAL
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
OLI
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SPC
1 - 0
CAL
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 0
LUS
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 1
ACA
34%
26%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
0 - 1
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
USA
3 - 0
SCP
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 1
OLI
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 3
SCP
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |