Caldas vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CON
2 - 2
CAL
19%
21%
60%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 0
OLE
46%
27%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 2
CAL
31%
26%
43%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 0
SER
45%
27%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
5 - 0
GDF
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
IDE
1 - 3
PRA
11%
19%
70%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
IDE
2 - 3
ANA
19%
24%
58%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
USA
1 - 0
IDE
11%
17%
73%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
IDE
2 - 0
GDF
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
BMA
4 - 0
IDE
87%
10%
3%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |