Caldas vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
FCP
4 - 0
CAL
93%
5%
2%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
CAL
3 - 2
SPC
47%
23%
30%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
SCP
6 - 0
CAL
94%
5%
2%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
CAL
1 - 4
SLB
9%
15%
76%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
ACA
4 - 0
CAL
77%
14%
10%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
FAB
5 - 3
LGC
49%
22%
29%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
FAB
2 - 5
FCP
12%
18%
71%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
SPC
2 - 1
FAB
66%
18%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
FAB
0 - 0
SCP
12%
18%
70%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
SLB
6 - 0
FAB
89%
7%
4%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |