Caldas vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
69.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
SER
40%
28%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
5 - 0
ADM
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 2
CAL
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
UDL
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ATA
0 - 3
CAL
18%
22%
59%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
ACA
69%
20%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SCP
1 - 0
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
EST
2 - 2
RIO
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GON
0 - 1
EST
8%
18%
74%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
VST
1 - 0
EST
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |