Liga Portuguesa Sub 19 II Subida Série Sul Round 4

Caldas SC U19 vs Farense U19 analysis

 Caldas SC U19  Farense U19
37 ELO 39
0.4% Tilt -6%
48550º General ELO ranking 6087º
1180º Country ELO ranking 127º
ELO win probability
52.8%
Caldas SC U19
21%
Draw
26.3%
Farense U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
 Caldas SC U19
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
26.3%
Win probability
 Farense U19
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

 Caldas SC U19
Their league position
 Farense U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
19
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
 Farense U19
19
19
0%
Lusitânia dos Açores U19
19
19
0%
 Beira Mar SC U19
17
17
100%
Amora FC U19
13
16
100%
 Caldas SC U19
7
7
100%
União de Leiria U19
6
6
100%
Expected probabilities
 Caldas SC U19
 Farense U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

 Caldas SC U19
 Farense U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caldas SC U19
 Caldas SC U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
UDL
União de Leiria U19
0 - 3
 Caldas SC U19
CSC
65%
19%
16%
37 42 5 0
11 Feb. 2023
CSC
 Caldas SC U19
3 - 2
 Beira Mar SC U19
BEI
23%
24%
53%
35 46 11 +2
28 Jan. 2023
CSC
 Caldas SC U19
2 - 2
Peniche U19
PEN
67%
18%
16%
35 27 8 0
21 Jan. 2023
RSC
 Real SC U19
1 - 2
 Caldas SC U19
CSC
65%
18%
17%
34 41 7 +1
14 Jan. 2023
CSC
 Caldas SC U19
1 - 0
Sacavenense U19
SAC
75%
15%
11%
34 23 11 0

Matches

Farense U19
 Farense U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
FAR
 Farense U19
1 - 0
Lusitânia dos Açores U19
LUA
76%
14%
10%
37 25 12 0
18 Feb. 2023
BEI
 Beira Mar SC U19
0 - 0
 Farense U19
FAR
71%
17%
12%
37 45 8 0
11 Feb. 2023
FAR
 Farense U19
1 - 2
Amora FC U19
AMO
47%
22%
32%
38 40 2 -1
28 Jan. 2023
FAR
 Farense U19
1 - 2
Amora FC U19
AMO
52%
21%
27%
38 39 1 0
21 Jan. 2023
FCB
 FC Barreirense U19
1 - 1
 Farense U19
FAR
36%
23%
41%
38 36 2 0