Caldas CF vs Unión Dena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+133%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
AMA
3 - 0
CAL
61%
20%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
GUA
47%
23%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
CAL
91%
7%
2%
|
12 | 78 | 66 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
SES
31%
23%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BEL
3 - 3
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Dena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GUA
5 - 2
UDE
42%
23%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
UDE
0 - 2
PON
72%
17%
12%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 3
UDE
46%
23%
32%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
UDE
3 - 1
CAN
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 2
UDE
41%
23%
37%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |