Caldas CF vs Cesantes CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+135%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
SAM
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ROM
2 - 1
CAL
22%
21%
57%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CER
1 - 1
CAL
23%
21%
57%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 3
SOU
41%
22%
37%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
CAM
77%
14%
10%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cesantes CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CER
1 - 1
CES
20%
19%
61%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CES
0 - 2
SOU
31%
21%
48%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CAT
0 - 5
CES
20%
19%
61%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
CES
5 - 1
FIG
66%
18%
17%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 2
CES
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |