Lega Pro Round 11

Portogruaro vs Virtus Entella analysis

Portogruaro Virtus Entella
58 ELO 51
-6.6% Tilt -2.4%
5445º General ELO ranking 1058º
196º Country ELO ranking 48º
ELO win probability
59.3%
Portogruaro
23.7%
Draw
17.1%
Virtus Entella

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
Portogruaro
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
17.1%
Win probability
Virtus Entella
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portogruaro
+12%
+44%
Virtus Entella

ELO progression

Portogruaro
Virtus Entella
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portogruaro
Portogruaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2012
LEC
Lecce
2 - 1
Portogruaro
POR
82%
13%
5%
58 79 21 0
28 Oct. 2012
POR
Portogruaro
1 - 1
Trapani
TRA
47%
26%
27%
59 57 2 -1
21 Oct. 2012
CUN
Cuneo
0 - 1
Portogruaro
POR
23%
26%
51%
58 45 13 +1
14 Oct. 2012
POR
Portogruaro
1 - 1
Tritium
TRI
63%
22%
15%
58 49 9 0
07 Oct. 2012
TRE
Treviso
0 - 0
Portogruaro
POR
27%
26%
48%
59 47 12 -1

Matches

Virtus Entella
Virtus Entella
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2012
ACD
Virtus Entella
1 - 1
Lumezzane
ACL
38%
28%
35%
51 59 8 0
28 Oct. 2012
FER
Union Brescia
1 - 1
Virtus Entella
ACD
45%
28%
28%
51 51 0 0
21 Oct. 2012
ACD
Virtus Entella
0 - 0
Cremonese
USC
22%
26%
53%
51 64 13 0
14 Oct. 2012
LEC
Lecce
4 - 2
Virtus Entella
ACD
87%
11%
3%
51 79 28 0
07 Oct. 2012
ACD
Virtus Entella
3 - 0
Reggiana
REG
38%
27%
35%
50 57 7 +1