Portogruaro vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portogruaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 1
POR
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
VNZ
46%
28%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
LEC
1 - 2
POR
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
POR
2 - 0
UNI
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
PRO
4 - 0
POR
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CES
3 - 2
RAV
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
REG
1 - 0
CES
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CES
2 - 1
VER
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
USC
1 - 2
CES
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CES
2 - 1
SPA
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |