Padova vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
RAV
1 - 3
PAD
14%
24%
62%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
PAD
5 - 3
VIS
69%
21%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
FER
3 - 1
PAD
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PAD
3 - 0
MAT
64%
23%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
PRG
3 - 0
PAD
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
TRI
0 - 1
SSS
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 2
TRI
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
ASG
1 - 0
TRI
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
TRI
3 - 1
FER
60%
24%
16%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
TRI
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |