Serie C Playoffs Ascenso. Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Padova vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
27.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 0
PAD
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 1
JS2
66%
23%
12%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
JS2
0 - 1
PAD
17%
25%
58%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
PAD
1 - 2
VIR
71%
21%
8%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 0
PAD
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 0
PAD
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 0
MON
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
FCC
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
USV
0 - 3
FCC
13%
25%
62%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FCC
3 - 0
CAM
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |