Padova vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
6.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
PAD
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
ABN
0 - 3
PAD
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
PAD
1 - 0
SSS
59%
22%
18%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ACL
0 - 0
PAD
17%
24%
59%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PAD
2 - 0
FCS
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FAN
0 - 2
ABN
30%
28%
43%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
FAN
65%
22%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
FAN
0 - 0
FCS
25%
26%
49%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BV5
1 - 1
FAN
78%
16%
7%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FAN
0 - 2
ACL
28%
27%
45%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |