Lecco vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 0
LEC
34%
27%
38%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
USA
0 - 1
LEC
84%
12%
4%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 4
SAV
33%
27%
40%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
LEC
77%
16%
7%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 5
VIN
59%
24%
17%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ACD
1 - 0
VIN
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
RIM
2 - 1
ACD
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ACD
2 - 2
TRE
19%
26%
56%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
REN
0 - 2
ACD
61%
23%
16%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ACD
0 - 0
CAS
37%
26%
37%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |