Lecco vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
VBE
0 - 1
LEC
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SON
1 - 3
LEC
18%
19%
63%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
GRU
2 - 1
LEC
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LEC
3 - 2
ROM
91%
7%
2%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
REZ
1 - 1
LEC
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FOL
2 - 2
PRO
35%
27%
38%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 0
PAR
6%
14%
80%
|
36 | 71 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 0
COM
12%
21%
67%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PRO
4 - 1
FOL
57%
24%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FOL
2 - 1
VAR
69%
20%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |