Lecco vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
ASS
1 - 1
LEC
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
LEC
0 - 0
TRI
69%
20%
12%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
REG
1 - 0
LEC
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
LEC
2 - 0
USA
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
VNZ
0 - 0
LEC
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
USA
3 - 1
FCC
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
FCC
1 - 0
REG
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
FCC
3 - 1
LIV
54%
26%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 0
FCC
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
ASS
2 - 1
FCC
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |