Lecco vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
46.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 0
LEC
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 1
COM
65%
22%
13%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 0
LEC
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 0
FCV
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PRG
2 - 1
LEC
50%
28%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 0
FOL
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 2
FCV
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
ASG
1 - 0
BEN
17%
23%
61%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
USA
1 - 0
BEN
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
BEN
3 - 1
PRG
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |