Calasparra vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ORI
1 - 1
CAL
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CAL
1 - 1
HOR
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAL
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
CAL
0 - 0
LAS
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
IMP
1 - 0
CAL
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
UCA
1 - 1
AGU
20%
25%
55%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
IND
1 - 1
UCA
55%
24%
21%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
UCA
1 - 0
CAR
26%
25%
49%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
BAL
0 - 0
UCA
63%
22%
16%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
UCA
3 - 3
PIN
67%
20%
13%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |