Calasancio vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
CAL
95%
4%
1%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 2
AGO
15%
23%
62%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
VIA
2 - 0
CAL
71%
18%
12%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
RIV
19%
22%
59%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
CAL
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
CDF
36%
24%
40%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 3
VAR
6%
13%
82%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AGO
2 - 2
VIL
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
VIA
34%
25%
41%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 1
VIL
68%
19%
13%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |