Calasancio vs Náxara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
70.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ARN
1 - 1
CAL
38%
28%
35%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
AGO
3 - 3
CAL
79%
14%
6%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
TED
65%
20%
14%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PRA
1 - 0
CAL
30%
27%
42%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
VAR
7%
13%
81%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
NAX
3 - 0
AGO
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
TED
0 - 2
NAX
8%
18%
75%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
NAX
1 - 0
PRA
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
VAR
4 - 0
NAX
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
NAX
1 - 3
ANG
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |