Calasancio vs Arnedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
RAP
4 - 2
CAL
41%
25%
34%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
CAL
0 - 1
VAR
16%
23%
61%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
RIV
1 - 0
CAL
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
VIL
0 - 1
CAL
40%
25%
36%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
CAL
2 - 1
CEN
46%
25%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
ARN
3 - 0
VIL
73%
18%
9%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
CEN
2 - 1
ARN
20%
24%
57%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ARN
2 - 1
CIU
72%
18%
9%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
ALB
0 - 0
ARN
23%
27%
51%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ARN
0 - 1
ADF
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |