Calamocha vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
47.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 4
ICF
34%
26%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ZAR
0 - 0
CAL
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
CFB
28%
26%
46%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SDB
1 - 1
CAL
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
BAR
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ZAR
1 - 0
SDB
57%
24%
20%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
ZAR
29%
26%
45%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ZAR
0 - 0
CAL
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
HUE
0 - 0
ZAR
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ZAR
0 - 1
TER
28%
27%
45%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |