Calamocha vs Illueca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
LAA
0 - 2
CAL
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 0
VIL
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 1
TAR
11%
20%
69%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SAR
2 - 0
CAL
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 1
ZAR
13%
20%
68%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ICF
0 - 0
TAR
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 2
ICF
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ICF
2 - 1
ZAR
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
UDC
0 - 1
ICF
17%
22%
61%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ICF
3 - 1
BEL
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |