Calais vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SCH
1 - 3
CAL
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CAL
3 - 1
NAN
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
MET
0 - 3
CAL
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
RCE
2 - 2
CAL
15%
25%
60%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
CAL
3 - 0
FCM
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SPI
2 - 0
RCE
68%
20%
13%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
LEN
0 - 0
SPI
61%
22%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
SPI
0 - 1
LIL
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
LSC
2 - 1
SPI
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
NAN
1 - 1
SPI
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |