Calafell vs Llorenç analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
32.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+146%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calafell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PSM
2 - 8
CAL
44%
22%
35%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CAL
5 - 2
ALC
26%
21%
54%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 0
CAL
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
RIE
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
VEN
1 - 0
CAL
77%
14%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Llorenç
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
LLO
3 - 1
SSA
42%
23%
35%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
PSM
0 - 2
LLO
45%
21%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
LLO
3 - 3
ALC
29%
21%
50%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 1
LLO
46%
21%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
LLO
2 - 2
RIE
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |