Calaf vs Piera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+563%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calaf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MIG
5 - 0
CAL
34%
22%
44%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
4 - 2
LGR
58%
20%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SIT
1 - 4
CAL
13%
16%
71%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 1
SPM
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LRO
2 - 2
CAL
24%
21%
55%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Piera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
PIE
4 - 5
CUB
30%
22%
49%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ANO
1 - 0
PIE
31%
22%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PIE
1 - 2
MAR
21%
20%
59%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
RIU
0 - 1
PIE
45%
22%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PIE
2 - 1
SCS
52%
20%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |