Cailungo vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 0
CAI
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CAI
3 - 1
SGI
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 1
TPE
19%
25%
56%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 2
LIB
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
TFI
1 - 2
CAI
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
4 - 1
VIR
65%
22%
13%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 3
TFI
29%
26%
46%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 3
TFI
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TPE
1 - 0
VIR
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 5
COS
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |