Cailungo vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
62.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
CAI
2 - 1
COS
32%
23%
45%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CAI
2 - 3
LIB
29%
27%
44%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TPE
3 - 2
CAI
83%
12%
4%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
COS
3 - 0
CAI
48%
23%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FIO
7 - 2
CAI
84%
11%
4%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
VIR
0 - 2
FOL
15%
20%
65%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FOL
1 - 0
TFI
38%
26%
37%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MUR
0 - 0
FOL
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
FOL
2 - 0
VIR
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 1
FOL
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |