Caiçara vs Piauí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
53.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 2
PAR
22%
22%
57%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CAI
3 - 3
FLA
22%
23%
55%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
4DE
2 - 1
CAI
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CAI
2 - 1
COR
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAI
71%
18%
11%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Piauí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 3
PIA
45%
26%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
PIA
3 - 2
COR
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
PIA
3 - 3
RIV
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
PIA
45%
27%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
4DE
2 - 2
PIA
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |