Caiçara vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
54.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
4DE
2 - 1
CAI
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CAI
2 - 1
COR
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAI
71%
18%
11%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 7
RIV
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
PIA
3 - 0
CAI
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 1
PAR
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 0
RIV
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PIA
2 - 0
FLA
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 2
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
COR
0 - 2
FLA
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |