CAI vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
BUC
0 - 1
CAI
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 1
BEL
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
PLA
4 - 1
CAI
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CAI
2 - 0
FER
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CAI
1 - 1
GIM
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
MER
4 - 1
IRV
31%
29%
40%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
SMA
4 - 3
MER
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MER
1 - 2
TFE
27%
30%
43%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CAU
2 - 0
MER
61%
24%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
MER
2 - 1
DYJ
27%
30%
43%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |