Cagliari vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
UDI
1 - 1
CAG
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
CAG
0 - 0
ACM
25%
27%
49%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
NAP
0 - 0
CAG
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
CAG
0 - 0
TOR
36%
31%
33%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
NAP
2 - 2
CAG
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
FCC
0 - 0
AVE
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
AVE
0 - 2
TOR
26%
35%
39%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
ACM
1 - 0
AVE
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
AVE
0 - 0
LAZ
35%
30%
35%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
AVE
3 - 1
FIO
24%
26%
51%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +2 |